The 32% Lie: On-Chain Evidence That Polymarket's Clarity Act Contract Is Systematically Mispriced
On Polymarket, the 'Clarity Act – Pass by Dec 2024' contract trades at 32...
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On Polymarket, the 'Clarity Act – Pass by Dec 2024' contract trades at 32...
Fear
Market Sentiment
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
Block reward halving event
92 million ARB released
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
Team and early investor shares released
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
Bitcoin Season